what if being right actually mattered?

right now on x, the person with a million followers gets heard no matter what. they can post a meme or some low-effort engagement bait and it reaches millions. meanwhile, the quiet person who actually predicted bitcoin at $1 or saw the macro shift coming months ago gets totally ignored. it is completely backwards. we are rewarding volume instead of value. we are listening to the loudest voice in the room instead of the one that actually knows where the door is. it is a system built on popularity rather than proof.

imagine opening your feed and seeing a specific number next to every single account. not a follower count. not a "verified" checkmark you can just buy for eight bucks. but a merit score. it would basically be a "truth" rating. how many times were you actually right when everyone else was wrong? did you buy bitcoin in 2011 when the media was calling it a ponzi scheme? did you see the shift in politics before the experts did? did you call the rise of tesla or the legalization of cannabis before it was "cool" to do so?

this score wouldn't care about how many people like your photos or how good you are at gaming an algorithm. it would only care about your foresight. it would be a cold, hard look at your track record.

here is why this actually matters... the people who see the future early almost never get rewarded for being right in the moment. they usually get mocked, dismissed, or just flat out ignored. then years later when their prediction becomes obvious to everyone, the world moves on and nobody remembers they called it first. they don't get the credit and the rest of us don't get the benefit of their insight because we couldn't find them in the noise.

ray dalio built bridgewater which is one of the most successful hedge funds in history on a really simple principle: an idea meritocracy. he tracks who makes good predictions and he weighs their opinions more than others. he doesnt care who is the most senior or who is the most popular. he cares about who is most accurate. he basically built a machine that filters for truth.

what if a platform like x did the same thing? you could have an ai that reads every tweet you have ever written and scores your predictions against what actually happened in the real world. it could update your merit score in real time as events unfold. suddenly, the quiet person who has been right about everything for a decade has a 99. the influencer who is wrong about every single trend but gets a ton of likes has a 12.

it wouldnt change who you follow... but it would change who you trust. it would flip the script.

being right about the future when everyone else is shouting you down takes real courage. it takes pattern recognition and real insight that most people just dont have. those are the voices we need to amplify if we want to actually build something that lasts. we need to stop optimizing for virality and start optimizing for truth.

so next time you are scrolling, ask yourself: am i following a leader or just a loud person? the future is already here, it is just hidden behind a million followers. which side of the score do you want to be on?